Feed

The Fed Decision: Maintaining an Extremely Delicate Balance!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement indicating again that interest rates will remain low for an extended period of time. The decision was not unanimous with one dissenting vote.

The Fed has in essence decided to continue its current course of discontinuing quantitative easing and developing a plan that it can tighten monetary policy quite quickly if necessary. It also offered assurance that monetary policy will be loose with the rates staying low for an extended period of time.

Continue reading The Fed Decision: Maintaining an Extremely Delicate Balance!

The Stock Market and the Discount Rate Increase: Damage Control and Mixed Messages!

The Federal Reserve Board raised the discount rate by 0.25% after the close of the market Thursday, raised the minimum bid for the Term Auction Facility (TAF) by 0.25%, and shortened the maximum maturity for primary credit loans to overnight. The stock market has gone lower in reaction to this statement.

Several Fed officials have issued comments emphasizing that this is not the beginning of monetary tightening. However, uncertainty still hangs over the markets despite these statements.

Continue reading The Stock Market and the Discount Rate Increase: Damage Control and Mixed Messages!

The Fed Decision: The Real News Was Yesterday, Not Today!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement indicating again that interest rates will remain low for an extended period of time. The decision was not unanimous with one dissenting vote.

The Fed continues to avoid any potential language which could disrupt the financial markets. Chairman Bernanke, a student of the Great Depression, does not want to do anything to damage the current stabilization in the economy. This is particularly true with a controversial vote on the Chairman's confirmation coming soon.

Continue reading The Fed Decision: The Real News Was Yesterday, Not Today!

The Fed decision: Ending extraordinary measures but no monetary tightening

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement indicating again that interest rates will remain low for an extended period of time. The decision was unanimous.

The Fed continues to avoid any potential language which could disrupt the financial markets. Chairman Bernanke, a student of the Great Depression, does not want to do anything to damage the current stabilization in the economy.

Continue reading The Fed decision: Ending extraordinary measures but no monetary tightening

The Fed decision: almost exactly as expected!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement almost exactly as expected. The language on interest rates is remaining low for an extended period of time remained largely unchanged, and the decision was unanimous.

As I have mentioned earlier, the Fed continues to avoid any potential language which could disrupt the financial markets. Any potentially controversial ideas seem to be reserved for speeches by the Chairman and other government officials.

Continue reading The Fed decision: almost exactly as expected!

The Fed decision: Attempting to be a non-event

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement today making its best attempt to be a non-event. The language on interest rates and quantitative easing remained largely unchanged, and the decision was unanimous.

This decision was designed to avoid any potential landmines which could disrupt the financial markets. The FOMC wanted this statement to be a non-event and seems to have largely succeeded.

Continue reading The Fed decision: Attempting to be a non-event

The Fed Beige Book: Maybe a bottom but where's the bounce?

The Federal Reserve released its latest beige book report detailing economic conditions across the country based upon observed evidence and conversations. The 12 Fed district banks "indicated that the pace of decline has moderated since the last report or that activity has begun to stabilize, albeit at a low level."

It indicates that retail activity is weak with essentially no wage pressure. This may be good news on the inflation front but is negative for the employment situation. There was some improvement in healthcare and technology.

Continue reading The Fed Beige Book: Maybe a bottom but where's the bounce?

The Fed Decision: Avoiding Landmines!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its unanimous decision. The language on interest rates and quantitative easing remained unchanged. It indicated that inflation is not a problem despite a recent rise in oil prices and sees economic stabilization although continued weakness.

This decision was designed to avoid potential landmines which could disrupt the financial markets. In other words, the FOMC wanted this statement to be a non-event and seems to have largely succeeded.



Continue reading The Fed Decision: Avoiding Landmines!

The Fed Decision: First rule is do no harm!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its decision on interest rates. The market anxiously awaited the decision to determine if there would be any surprises like the previous decision in which the Fed announced a massive quantitative easing program.

This decision was quite different and can be summed up in two words: no change. There was virtually no change from the previous statement aside from an acknowledgment of recent economic news. In other words, it turned out to be a non-event.

Continue reading The Fed Decision: First rule is do no harm!

The real stress of the bank tests: Managing investor expectations!

We are getting our first official information about the Bank Stress Test with the release of the White Paper detailing the assumptions behind how the stress tests were conducted. This is the initial step in a process culminating in the release of results for the individual banks.

In this case, the process may be more important than the result. We all know the results in advance. Secretary Geithner has already told us that most banks have already passed in previous speeches. I doubt that the government would announce with major fanfare that the American financial system is insolvent. There are two major issues regarding investor expectations that have to be addressed: credibility and panic.

Continue reading The real stress of the bank tests: Managing investor expectations!

Bank news: Focus on the assets, not the earnings!

Several banks, including Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC), JPMorgan Chase & Company (NYSE: JPM), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), and Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE: C), have reported earnings that beat expectations substantially. All earnings were down compared to last year but much less than what the experts were expecting. The stock market reacted to these earnings reports like gasoline on a fire and exploded to the upside.


Continue reading Bank news: Focus on the assets, not the earnings!

The G-20 Meeting and the Financial Crisis: Victory declared but massive economic problems Remain!

The G-20 summit was a true public relations success. There were no walkouts by France or any other country as had been previously feared. There were statements that protectionism should be avoided. It appeared that the world learned the lesson from Smoot Hawley Tariff Act during the Hoover administration. There was a commitment to fund the International Monetary Fund with additional capital. Despite low expectations, there appeared to be an international consensus by the G-20 nations.

President Obama was warmly received by all the G-20 nations. This was in sharp contrast to the chilly reception of the Bush administration at prior G-20 summits.


Continue reading The G-20 Meeting and the Financial Crisis: Victory declared but massive economic problems Remain!

The bonus tax problem: Recognizing the insolvency is the first step!

The government has attempted to allay public outrage over payment of the American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG) bonuses by passing a specific bill taxing almost all of the bonus payments. However, several problems have arisen over this solution:
  • The bill may violate the Constitution which prohibits laws targeting specific people.
  • The nature of the statute bothers the business community which is rightly concerned that similar statutes if this one is deemed legal could be enacted to confiscate wealth on an arbitrary basis.
  • This bill does very little to establish a workable framework to address similar problems.

Thus, the bill may solve one problem but creates even more in the process.

Continue reading The bonus tax problem: Recognizing the insolvency is the first step!

The Geithner Private-Public Partnership: The cure may be worse than the disease!

As more details were unveiled yesterday about the Public-Private Partnership proposed by Secretary Timothy Geithner to deal with the "Toxic Assets" currently on the balance sheets of many of the major banks, the equity markets around the world experience what can only be described as euphoria. Equity markets in the United States experienced one of the biggest one-day rallies in history. Obviously, Wall Street likes the plan at first glance.

However, Paul Krugman, the liberal Noble Prize winner, wrote an editorial in The New York Times attacking the plan as "Cash for Trash." Subsequently, Newt Gingrich, the former Republican Speaker of the House, announced on Fox News that he agreed with Professor Krugman. When senior figures on both left and right agree, it may be wise to look past the euphoria.


Continue reading The Geithner Private-Public Partnership: The cure may be worse than the disease!

Bonuses in the AIG poker game: We stole it fair and square

In my previous post on the Financial Stability plan presented by the Obama administration, I mentioned the dangers involved with dealing with some of the sharpest players on Wall Street. I used the analogy of not knowing who the sucker is when you sit down at the poker table because it turns out to be you!

It turns out that the taxpayer bailout money was used to pay bonuses of about $450 million to a small group of employees at the business unit that lost $40.5 billion last year at AIG and caused the crisis in the first place. Apparently, this appears to be a contractual obligation of AIG which cannot be abrogated.

Continue reading Bonuses in the AIG poker game: We stole it fair and square

Next Page >

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-37.1910,741.98
NASDAQ-16.872,374.41
S&P 500-5.921,159.90

Last updated: March 21, 2010: 04:41 AM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

18.07-0.12(-0.66)

Alcoa

14.26-0.04(-0.28)

Apple Inc

222.2499-2.4001(-1.07)

Google Inc 'A'

560.00-6.40(-1.13)

Bank of America

16.82-0.26(-1.52)

Wal-Mart Stores

55.34-0.60(-1.07)

Exxon Mobil Corp

67.04-0.35(-0.52)

Ford

13.29-0.44(-3.20)

Citigroup

3.90-0.12(-2.99)

IBM

127.71-0.67(-0.52)

Yahoo

16.44-0.12(-0.72)

Starbucks

24.97-0.05(-0.20)

Microsoft

29.59-0.02(-0.07)

Home Depot

32.36-0.04(-0.12)

DailyFinance Headlines

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

    BioHealth Investor Headlines

    WalletPop Headlines

    My Portfolios

    Track your stocks here!

    Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

    BloggingStocks Partners

    More from AOL Money & Finance

    CNNMoney Headlines

    More CNNMoney.com

    Financial Times Headlines

    More Financial Times

    CNBC Headlines

    More CNBC.com

    SmartMoney Headlines

    More SmartMoney

    Fox Business Headlines

    More Fox Business

    Engadget Headlines

    More Engadget

    DailyFinance Headlines

    More DailyFinance

    WalletPop Headlines

    More WalletPop

    Aol Small Business Headlines

    More Aol Small Business

    Luxist Headlines

    More Luxist

    HousingWatch Headlines

    More HousingWatch

    Aol News Headlines

    More Aol News