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I've focused some of my writing and research on these pages on the hype surrounding WiMAX, an emerging telecommunications technology that could make broadband wireless access a reality. Some of the best WiMAX technology in being developed in Israel by firms like Alvarion (NASDAQ: ALVR) and Ceragon (NASDAQ: CRNT). In spite of on-again, off-again news coming out of big players like Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), my thesis has always been that we can debate all we want as to whether WiMAX will hit in the U.S. The truth is that WiMAX is already happening in the rest of the world.

MarketWatch is out with a story this morning about some of the action happening in the telecommunications space surrounding WiMAX. In Big investments rumored for wireless technology, MarketWatch reporter, Therese Poletti takes the usual tack by pointing out both sides of the argument that WiMAX "is full of potential to drive cheaper, high-speed wireless data, voice and video communications, or a dismal failure, depending on who you talk to."

The same article cites a spokesperson for chip-giant, Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), as saying that Intel "remains bullish on WiMAX, saying the technology is definitely 'ready for prime time.'"
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While the overall numbers of those American homeowners whose homes are getting foreclosed may be around -- to use Jim Cramer's statistic -- 1 in 550, I have to assume there are a lot more people getting closer to this point. When incomes are somewhat stagnant and housing prices are down, a lot of us can no longer tap our house to access more money. So what happens in a worst case scenario?

Bankruptcy seems to be a viable option for more and more Americans. In Arming against foreclosure, MarketWatch examines measures being taken at the legislative level to help Americans ward off foreclosure. One interesting proposal mentioned is one "that consumer advocates see as key to helping more people stay in their homes: allowing bankruptcy courts to modify troubled mortgages on primary residences."

Currently, bankruptcy law cannot enact measure to modify the mortgage on a primary residence, forcing homeowners to find different solutions to keep their homes. Consumer advocates are pushing for new measures to allow for bankruptcy law to act as an "efficient and established method for troubled homeowners to make good" on their debts, particularly their mortgages.

For a lot of people, declaring bankruptcy and leaving their homes may make financial sense if the debts on the home now exceed the value of the home. In this case, homeowners would be going long bankruptcy and short the housing market.

It's a tough trade.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

Speaking to friends, the $1 trillion question that keeps arising is "when do we start buying?" Astute investors, they've certainly lightened up on their exposure to stocks over the past few months and have cash sitting on the sidelines. "Are we making a bottom here?" they ask, readying themselves to start moving back into the stock market. As asset allocation and modern portfolio theory tells us, stay in the market, be diversified, and don't trade on emotion. The problem is that investors doing that since 2000 would have seen little investment returns in exchange for taking on stock market risk.

So, with this info in hand, more aggressive investors are looking to spot a bottom and make a buck along the way. So, it's interesting to read weekly Barron's article out over the weekend entitled For the Bold Investor, This Could Be the Time to Buy Tech Stocks. The article, written by one of this author's favorite journalists, Eric Savitz, looks at Oracle's (NASDAQ: ORCL) recent performance as indicative for what's happening to tech. Citing Oracle's Chief Financial Officer Safra Catz, Savitz explains that deals were getting harder to close with some business slipping into the May quarter. Tough times for tech.

So why does Barron's think we should start buying now?

Mark Hulbert at MarketWatch wrote about influential investment newsletter editor, Richard Band's outlandish forecast that the Dow Jones Industrial Average may end the year at 16,000. This very bullish estimate of a 33% gain in the index from someone who's not typically a headline-grabber made Hulbert take note.

Hulbert, who tracks performance of some of the best newsletters in the business, has been tracking Band's Profitable Investing newsletter since 1991. In that time period, Band returned a 8.6% annualized return compared to an almost 11% annualized return in the Wilshire 5000.

Not bad but not outstanding. So why is Band all bulled up?

Technical factors have Band singing a very upbeat tune. The first, according to the article "has to do with the stock market's internal characteristics when it hit a low earlier this month. Band argues that that low possessed "many striking technical resemblances to the great bear market bottoms of the past.""

So, how does Band recommend playing the markets at this important juncture. He recommends a couple of market ETFs. Specifically, Band points to the iShares Russell 1000 Growth Fund (NYSE: IWF), the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (NYSE: EEM). Another recommendation is in a fund I've never seen before (but maybe I should): the Selected American Shares (SLASX). This fund, a 4-star fund according to Morningstar, invests in US large caps and has returned an annualized return over the past 5 years of almost 13%.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

In fascinating endowment news yesterday, Harvard University turned to one of its former investment stars to take the helm of the Ivy League's biggest endowment of $35 billion.

Currently chief investment officer at Wellesley College, Jane Mendillo has been tapped o become the president and chief executive of Harvard Management Company. She fills in the slot vacated by Mohamed El-Erian, the emerging market bond guru, who left last year after less than two years in the job to return to his previous post with Bill Gross' PIMCO.

Famed uber-investor Jack Meyer racked up impressive returns in his tenure at Harvard Management Company during the 1990s. According to Wikipedia, Meyer grew an endowment "worth $4.8 billion to a value of $25.9 billion (including new contributions). During the last decade of his tenure, the endowment earned an annualized return of 15.9%."

Not too shabby.

It's great to see a woman take over the helm of such a high-profile investment fund. The best part of this whole move is that Mendillo is a Yale grad!

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

In an article I wrote yesterday, entitled Hitting the skids in Florida, I examined the fallout of depressed real estate prices and how folks are coping with a new reality. Today, the FT has an article about how the changes in global real estate are affecting places like Spain.

In Spain's Property Market Headed for a Fall, the FT examines financial conditions in Spain that are leading to a perfect storm. The story cites tightening credit conditions (ie, it's harder to borrow money), the oversupply of houses, and rampant price inflation as leading to a precarious present for Spanish residents. Spanish prices have dropped almost 30% from where they were at this time last year.

Sound familiar?

We're suffering from some of the same malaise but I have to say, that after a slow going, our Federal Reserve has moved quickly and decisively to address some of the same issues on American soil.

The difference between the Spanish situation and our own appears to be government intervention. Where our Federal Reserve has added a lot of liquidity into ailing banks, lowered interest rates, and even orchestrated a bailout, Spain's Socialist government seems focused on job retraining and stepping up public works projects.

We'll see where this all pans out.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

With the pervasive use of computers in our lives, the line between what's mine and yours sometimes gets blurred. I read an interesting post on TechDirt today that describes a patent that Big Blue, International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) was awarded. The article, entitled "IBM Patents Real-Time Auto Insurance Surcharges," describes the patent as "Location-Based Vehicle Risk Assessment System, which describes how surcharges will be added to your auto insurance premium when a GPS device reports that you drove into an area in IBM's bad neighborhood database."

While this certainly sounds invasive, it's part of a larger trend in the insurance industry that actually benefits us consumers. In fact, I've written before about Pointer Telocation Limited (Nasdaq: PNTR), a small Israeli firm that markets technology similar to that of Lo-Jack's. In my interview with the Pointer Chairman, Yossi Ben Shalom told investors about a project underway in the U.S. called "Pay as You Go," in which insurance companies are testing programs with technology providers like Pointer that would revolutionize the auto insurance industry.

According to Ben Shalom, "Some people in the industry are talking about a discount or incentive program to build insurance policies on a multitude of parameters. Instead of just selling a policy based on the collective risk profile of the insured, "Pay as You Go" would calibrate premiums on a month-to-month basis based on specific data on how and who drove the car. Imagine a policy that didn't charge a family with a 16-year old driver when he didn't drive the car that month. Which roads the insured drove on, who drove the car, when the car was driven – all this data can be supplied via Pointer equipment to an insurance firm. There are some small pilot tests going on currently which we are involved in. Right now, we're talking about a very small percentage of the overall market but this could be a big driver for Pointer in the future because you need our technology for this."

Looks like IBM wants to get in on a project that could ultimately lower our auto insurance premiums. Clearly, no one wants their insurance company or anyone spying on them but with the right incentives and consumer protections, this new technology and new program could be great, no?

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

I grew up in Miami. Yes, I was born and raised there and am under 40-years-old. One of the few. I love the city. I love the people. I love the Latin flavor of the town, its food and nightlife. I also enjoyed owning and selling a home there in the early 2000s.

Things are different now. Homeowners have been hit with the downside of a strong housing market and have seen prices snapback much greater than some other parts of the country. After seeing a pullback in net worth, Floridians have been tightening their belts this year in some creative and not-so-creative ways.

Today's Bloomberg has an article about how the changes in the Florida housing market are being dealt with by Dolphins fans. Floridians, and Miami residents in particular, are dining out less, seeing fewer movies, foregoing on travel plans, and in some extreme cases, drinking less expensive beer.

According to Bloomberg, Miami real estate prices fell 19.3% year-over-year in January, tied with Las Vegas for the largest drop among 20 metro areas. Some homeowners feeling the pinch are no longer drinking Guinness and Royal Extra beers, but instead buy something domestic and cheaper.

This change in net worth is real and is affecting consumption decisions. While it hurts everyone involved, the process of (trying!) to realign the split between assets and debts is ultimately a healthy one for our country and something, I believe, will help strengthen the U.S. dollar and regain respect for American ingenuity, strength and democratic values around the globe.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com ,a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund, and a proud former Floridian.

If you're like most people, you probably have a larger percentage of your investment money in cash than you had two years ago. While some investors are taking their chances in this recent market volatility, many are choosing to wait on the sidelines until the "All Clear!" call comes in (whenever and however that's really communicated -- but that's another blog post).

Well, these investors sitting on cash are not alone. Bloomberg reports this morning that mutual funds have been desperately selling stocks and moving to pretty sizable cash hordes. In a survey conducted by Merrill Lynch and reported by Bloomberg, managers have been feverishly adding to their cash positions and consequently, "cash relative to total assets also rose to a five-year high as managers found fewer stocks to purchase and anticipated redemptions."

This brings up a couple of issues. Let's be clear: mutual fund managers want to manage volatility like all investors. The problem here is that if I hand my money over to a small cap manager because I believe he's pretty proficient in picking stocks, I don't really want him moving into cash. That's my job as portfolio manager of my own investment account. I'm essentially paying him to be in the market -- not move out of it.

There's an old adage that you've got to give sometimes in order to receive. Nowhere is that more true than in modern-day politics where the level of candidate scrutinization had reached epic heights. While no politico myself, I do recognize a savvy move when I see one, and I think I just spotted one.

Obama just released his 2000-2006 tax returns into the public domain and is now urging Hillary Clinton to do the same. Why subject your filings to the public sphere? This armchair pundit believes that Obama knows something about the Clinton filings and is upping the ante to push them to the same level of disclosure.

But once we've got the filings, what do they tell us about Obama? Well, Bloomberg is taking the Obamas to task for not quite giving as charitably as they could. In an article out today, Bloomberg writes that the Obamas gave less than 1% of their 2000-2004 income to charity.

Those who think Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is happy being the world's most dominant search engine haven't been reading their tea leaves on the wall (or some mixed metaphor like that).

Google recently exited the FCC's 700 Mhz spectrum auction without winning anything but gaining much. The tech giant persuaded the FCC to open up the wireless networks and won big without having to spend almost $5 billion on licenses. I never thought Google wanted to build out a wireless network, and chooses instead to deliver ads and applications to other operators.

I was interested to read yesterday about Google's further lean on the FCC to open up soon-to-be-unused broadcast spectrum as the U.S. converts to digital TV. Google wants access to these "white spaces" to begin using them to manage a nationwide WiFi network -- free, unlicensed and able to reach much farther than WiFi can today.

MarketWatch has an interesting opinion piece out on JPMorgan's (NYSE: JPM) re-negotiated deal for troubled investment bank, Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC). Entitled "Dimon's Dog ", the article's thesis is that while JPMorgan's CEO, Jamie Dimon, initially had a great score scooping up Bear on the brink of insolvency, his renegotiated deal leaves the company with a significantly weaker hand than it had just one week ago.

According to MarketWatch's David Weidner, "Somewhere, Gordon Gecko is hanging himself with his suspenders."

It seemed that Dimon had it in the bag. A quick and dirty deal, approved by Bear's board with pressure from the Federal Reserve Board -- it appeared a done deal.

But then something happened.

$2 had tremendous shock value. Regardless of how that values the company, you can buy a hot dog for $2. The market didn't believe it could happen and I guess what happened is that JPMorgan couldn't believe it either even though the firm committed to taking on Bear Stearn's obligations whether or not Bear shareholders agreed to the deal. Check out Sheldon Liber's article on the subject.

As investors, we've been bombarded over the past couple of months with negative news coming from Wall Street banks that either underwrote, invested in, or had clients who invested in bad mortgages or some derivative of them. While these firms have written down billions in assets on their balance sheets, investors like Joe Lewis, the Australian billionaire who put $1 billion into Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) and promptly saw his investment drop almost 100%, have been left holding the bag.

Bloomberg is out this morning with an article which details some of the fallout from this process. According to Bloomberg, after the Internet bubble burst, 39,800 jobs at big banking firms were eliminated during the same period. The number climbed to 90,000 in the next two years, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.

While not everyone cries over millionaire bankers losing their jobs, there is certainly fallout that hurts everyone dependent on a healthy economy. One recruiter interviewed by Bloomberg predicted that the total headcount reduction could be more than 100,000 in a few years. Lawyers, realtors, and mortgage brokers are feeling the heat.

According to Bloomberg, the biggest cutters have been:

• Citigroup 6,200
• Lehman Brothers 4,990
• Bank of America 3,650
  

I tend to think that from a cycle point of view, Wall Street cuts harshly only to rehire when things pick up.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) reported earnings this morning that while dropped significantly, still beat Wall Streett's expectations. Citing strong equity sales and trading profits, the large investment bank impressed analysts with better-than-expected performance. Net revenues dropped 17% but things weren't quite as bad as analysts were forecasting.

In spite of fourth quarter results deemed "embarassing" by CEO John Mack, MS joins the ranks of Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) and Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH), two investment banks whose relatively benign performance in the face of very strong headwinds, has helped allay some concerns about a liquidity traffic jam for financial firms.

Bloomberg ran a story on Morgan's performance here. The same story quoted an asset manager as saying "Any business that Bear Stearns had probably has gone to someone else." At least that's some good news for the walking wounded.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

Have you taken a look at China? Wow. All those voices that have said that China is going to the moon. Have you taken a look at the FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (NYSE: FXI) lately? It's down over 40% from its recent highs and looks to be headed lower -- at least for now. Investors who used the Proshares Ultrashort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (Amex: FXP) would have fared a lot better as such an index tries to use leverage and outperform the inverse of the China index. In other words, the FXP shorts the Chinese market. It's up almost 50% just year to date.

According to an article at MarketWatch, China's retreated for the 5th straight day on worries of continued monetary policy tightening by the Chinese central bank.

Although the EU has ruled out an Olympic boycott over the violence in Tibet, what's happening there is certainly adding to the feelings of a quickly growing economic and political power running amok. In typical fashion, Europe refuses to speak out against such types of aggression. According to the FT, Mark Malloch-Brown, the UK's minister for Africa, Asia and the United Nations, told the BBC: "This [the Olympics] is China's coming out party and they should take great care to do nothing that will wreck that."

With the way the Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets are behaving, it doesn't look as though the princess will be ready for her coming out party in a few months. It's probably going to take more time as China's growth is forcing it to deal with hard issues such as soaring inflation, domestic unrest, and heavy-handed politics.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.