Those who were hoping for an Obama victory lap on the floor of the NYSE only got their toes bitten by bears. Weakening economic data and the market preparing for very weak retail sales numbers took away any shot of major gains today, and you can always blame major profit taking after a multi-day rally phase we saw.
Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) was slapped after the global steel giant gave guidance for EBITDA in Q4 at $2.5 to $3.0 billion. This is being taken as an earnings warning with 2008 expectations being implied at roughly $24.2 billion as being more than 10% under consensus expectations. Shares were down 20% at $25.30 on above average volume shortly before the close.
Greenhill & Co., Inc. (NYSE: GHL) was down after it filed to sell up to 3.5 million shares of common stock in a secondary offering. Shares were down over 11% at $61.61 shortly before the close.
InterActive Corp.'s (NASDAQ: IACI) search engine and information portal Ask.com continues to try and re-invent itself to compete more heavily with search leader Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). With Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) being such a large distraction over this past summer, the time seemed appropriate for Ask.com to try -- again -- to take some steam from Google. From anyone, for that matter.
It still won't happen. Here's why: Google's search product still is compelling to all that use it, even with marginally better search products. Google also has its hand in news, email, documents, spreadsheet, blogs, etc., and continues to recruit the customer that uses Google for everything possible on the web.
Its main product is search and that also provides almost all its revenue. But how can Ask.com compete with something like this? A better product, faster search results, or a more intuitive experience won't cut it any longer. What Ask.com would need is a disruptive product to even think about competing with Google. It's been over a few years since I've written on Ask.com's foray into competing with Google. In many ways, it's superior. That's, unfortunately, no longer enough.
Is Ask.com trying to win a losing battle? Perhaps. When Ask.com CEO Jim Safka says that Ask.com can recruit web searchers from Google with a 30% speed increase in search results, he's deluding himself. I'm not sure where that research came from, but Ask.com may be on its last stand. The search engine is pulling in ad revenue from the use of its products, and it may be content to grow steadily in that arena for the time being. But if it really wants to attack Google's ad revenue cash cow, something completely innovative and fresh needs to be forthcoming.
Keefe Bruyette upgraded shares of ING Group (NYSE: ING) to Outperform from Market Perform after upgrading the European insurance sector to Overweight from Neutral due to improved risk management.
Keefe Bruyette also upgraded Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) to Market Perform from Underperform to reflect the company's national footprint if the Wachovia (NYSE: WB) deal goes through.
JP Morgan upgraded Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) to Overweight from Neutral citing top line performance, growth profile and valuation, among other reasons.
Jabil Circuit (NYSE: JBL) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
Amylin Pharma (NASDAQ: AMLN) was raised to Hold from Sell at Citigroup.
Louisiana Pacific (NYSE: LPX) was upgraded at RBC Capital to Sector Perform from Underperform.
Analyst downgrades:
Jefferies downgraded shares of Ecolab (NYSE: ECL) to Hold from Buy and lowered its target to $50 from $55 to reflect risks to the company's earnings outlook from the weakening economy.
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) was cut to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank as they believe the economic slowdown will bring slower volumes. Coca-Cola's target was lowered to $56 from $64.
It seemed that our streak of gains wasn't even going to make it two days, but this afternoon buyers were able to come to the rescue. A more than $5 rise in oil was much better tolerated than in weeks past as geopolitical concerns are rising because of US-Russia tensions.
Barry Diller's IAC/Interactive (NASDAQ: IACID) finally completed its spin-offs into five operating units and completed its effective reverse splits. According to the data, the shares were up 8% at $16.60 in today's final minutes. Here is a full breakdown of the new companies with tickers and operations.
U.S. stock futures were lower this morning, pointing to a weaker start Thursday following a reprieve Wednesday. Concerns over financials toll center stage again as oil continued to swing higher. Some economic data released later today may affect trading as well: Philadelphia-area poll of activity for August, leading indicators for July and weekly jobless claims.
Investors continued to fear nationalization of mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), each of which declined 27% and 22% Wednesday respectively. FNM and FRE are declining about 4.5% and 9% respectively in premarket trading. Jim Cramer thinks trading in the shares should be stopped for fear of manipulation as the short-selling rules ended.
Staying with financials, Citi lowered its third-quarter earnings estimates for Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) as it fears further writedowns, and a weaker business flow in addition to the seasonal slowdown. It cut its price target on Lehman to $35 from $50, but kept as Buy. Citi forecasts write-downs of $2.9 billion for Lehman, $1.8 billion for Goldman and $1.7 billion for Morgan Stanley.
As if that wasn't enough to raise concerns, the Wall Street Journal reports that the Federal Reserve called Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) last month to check a rumor that the bank was preparing to pull a line of credit for Lehman Brothers, which CS told the FED wasn't true. At least this shows the Fed is serious about taking and implementing the moral authority it should be.
U.S. stock futures are higher Wednesday morning, a day after markets rallied around 2.4% due to declining oil prices. But today, ADP monthly employment data will be released, as well as weekly oil inventories data. Investors will digest the numbers and the slew of earnings due for release.
Already reported this morning (to name a few):
Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) said its second-quarter profit rose 8% as cable TV rates rose and consumers ordered more digital and premium services. While the results fell short of Wall Street's forecast, CMCSA shares are trading mildly higher.
Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) said its second-quarter profit more than doubled due to increased production and higher steel prices. It also gave an upbeat outlook for third quarter. The company outperformed consensus by about 20% at the revenue. MT shares, which have already close 7% higher Tuesday, are trading up another 6% in premarket action.
Garmin (NASDAQ: GRMN) shares are crashing, trading 11% lower in premarket action after the company reported quarterly profit that was above market estimates, but revenue missed expectations and 2008 outlook was cut due to macroeconomic conditions and high fuel prices that have already impacted growth.
Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) shares are over 1.7% lower in premarket trading after reporting a second-quarter loss as declining spending by smaller businesses and retail customers hurt sales.
Siemens (NYSE: SI) reported that "third quarter net profit fell 31% due to a one-time gain a year earlier, but order intake and revenue rose, beating expectations and showing the industrial conglomerate's resilience so far to the economic downturn." SI shares are 3.9% higher in premarket trading.
Corning (NYSE: GLW) shares are down over 2% in premarket trading after reporting inline earnings per share, but revenue slightly below estimates.
IAC/InterActive (NASDAQ: IACI) said it swung to a second-quarter loss, hurt by a $300 million charge in its Cornerstone Brands business. Adjusted earnings were 35 cents per share as revenue rose 7% to $1.6 billion. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial expected profit of 31 cents per share on $1.6 billion in sales.
When Ask.com's mapping service was just getting up to speed as a very workable product, the company decided to jettison its in-house mapping service and instead install Microsoft Corp.'s (NASDAQ: MSFT) own mapping service. Ask.com company parent InterActive Corp. (NASDAQ: IACI) apparently decided to cut some costs in the day and age of hyper-competition with Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Microsoft and just outsource a great product that was taking up too many resources with too little to show for it.
Microsoft's Virtual Earth technology is now powering Ask.com mapping service. It should not be seen as defeat for Ask.com, as Microsoft's offering is superior in almost every way from my experience (and most likely, cheaper to license instead of maintaining an in-house product). This brings up an important question: is Ask.com in cost-cutting mode temporarily or permanently? The search engine and portal has seen its global market share sit pretty idle for the last year, as has Microsoft. Google, meanwhile, has slightly increased its search marketshare, Let's face it -- Ask.com, like those others, makes it's money in search (with smaller peripheral income sources of course).
Where is Ask.com's future revenue going to come from? Search advertising? Shopping commissions? All of the above? If Yahoo, Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) is possibly going to outsource its search to Google, what is stopping Ask.com from using Google's technology as well? That would literally pit Microsoft and Google as bulls racing towards each other. But if Ask.com is fretting over the continuance of its mapping product, search can't be that far behind. Then, the Ask.com brand will be the only thing left.
IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ: IACI) needs to build up its little Ask.com franchise before it is spun out in a breakup of the parent company. Ask.com is an "also ran" in the search engine fight which includes Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO).
In an attempt to turn a loser into a contender, IACI is buying Lexico, which owns Dictionary.com, Thesaurus.com and Reference.com. According toThe Wall Street Journal, "Lexico sites drew about 15.6 million unique U.S. visitors in March, according to comScore Inc., compared with 55.4 million for Ask and an array of affiliated sites."
Even if the price of the new addition is low, the Lexico sites are not likely to do much good for the Ask.com franchise. It has already fallen so far behind the three search leaders that it almost certainly cannot catch up. Internet users have already set their preference in this part of the online market. Owning a dictionary site is not going to help that.
IACI's Ask.com can't come from behind and buying additional reference sites is not going to change that.
CBS Corp. (NYSE: CBS) announced Thursday it has signed a deal to buy CNet Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: CNET) for $11.50 a share in cash. CNet operates not only the CNET site, but also ZDNet, GameSpot.com, TV.com, mp3.com and others. The deal values CNet at about $1.8 billion and push CBS to among the 10 most popular Internet companies in the United States. CBS shares are down 2.9% in premarket trading while CNET shares are of course up over 42% to $11.31.
IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ: IACI)'s Ask.com has bought Lexico Publishing Group LLC, the parent of Dictionary.com, Thesaurus.com and Reference.com among other sites. Earlier this year, Lexico already agreed to be sold to Answers Corp (NASDAQ: ANSW), but the latter couldn't secure the necessary funds. Now, Lexico sold itself to Ask.com, for an undisclosed amount, although the number people are throwing around is $100 million. Could this acquisition help IACI gain -- even a little -- on market leader Google?
United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) and Continental Airlines Inc. (NYSE: CAL), dropping ideas of a merger, are now talking about forming an alliance to still gain some benefits of working together. United appears relentless in its attempts to help its bottom line through a merger or an alliance. While talking to Continental about an alliance, it is still negotiating with US Airways Group (NYSE: LCC).
In a move to help turnaround its troubled business, General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) will sell or divest its appliance division, and could expect to receive between $5B and $8B for the unit, according to the Wall Street Journal. Potential buyers appliance makers BSH Bosch & Siemens Hausger of Germany and Haier Group of China, as well as private equity firms and Controladora Mabe, GE's partner in Mexico.
The Wall Street Journal also reported that Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA) will acquire Plaxo, a networking Web site, in an effort to increase its range of services. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.
To help improve its Ask.com search engine, the Wall Street Journal reported that IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ: IACI) will buy the Lexico Publishing Group, which owns Dictionary.com, Thesaurus.com and Reference.com.
WEB SITES:
Citing the New England Journal of Medicine, Bloomberg reported that migraine headache medicines, including Merck & Co Inc's (NYSE: MRK) Maxalt and GlaxoSmithKline Plc's (NYSE: GSK) Imitrex caused potentially fatal reactions in at least 11 people. The Journal said people using "triptans," an older class of migraine drugs, could develop serotonin syndrome, which may cause fever, shock, vomiting and rapid heartbeat.
16 Double-Your-Money Stocks It's an investor's dream: A stock with the potential to double in price. How do you spot companies that could potentially rise 100% in price? BusinessWeek asked experts for some advice and their favorite stock picks. Here are 16 stocks that expert investors believe could double in price. They include Rubicon Technology, OM Group, Wonder Auto Technology, IHS, Ansys and Volterra Semiconductor. Stocks: The Double-Your-Money Club - BusinessWeek
8 Ways to Make a Million Don't just dream about striking it rich. Learn from those who did. A growing number of Americans are achieving millionaire status. And in the stories of these ten people you'll find a lot that will make your life richer, whether you become a millionaire or not. See how these entrepreneurs, investors and savers have made a million. Eight Lessons: Ways to Make a Million - Kiplinger.com
Sell in May and Go Away? As Wall Street comes to the end of what is often called the 'best six months' of the year, investors may be feeling cheated. And concerned. If that was the market at its best, what does the market at its worst look like? The past six months was the worst 'best six months' performance for stocks since 1973. And if market indicators hold up, May through October could be a tough period, as per the old Wall Street saw 'sell in May and go away.' But, in an unusual period on Wall Street, the old seasonal standby doesn't apply. But the opposite might. Sell what in May and go away? - CNNmoney Trading Strategies for May MarketWatch offers advice on how to get your portfolio off the ground this month. Trading Strategies - MarketWatch
Those who were hoping for an Obama victory lap on the floor of the NYSE only got their toes bitten by bears. Weakening economic data and the market preparing for very weak retail sales numbers took away any shot of major gains today, and you can always blame major profit taking after a multi-day rally phase we saw.
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It seemed that our streak of gains wasn't even going to make it two days, but this afternoon buyers were able to come to the rescue. A more than $5 rise in oil was much better tolerated than in weeks past as geopolitical concerns are rising because of US-Russia tensions. 
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
When Ask.com's mapping service was just getting up to speed as a very workable product, the company decided to jettison its in-house mapping service and instead install 
.gif){kind=logo}
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
Before the bell: Futures lower ahead of jobs report
Best & Worst in Money 2008: Most shocking financial collapse
Global Q&A: A rocky road, but profits ahead
