As we begin the trek to grandmother's house, it's worth reflecting on what we have to be thankful for. The answer? When it comes to money, most of us have a lot less than we did a year ago. But for those of you who have your health and your families to comfort you, it will cost much less to buy the gasoline to visit than it would have in July. And as you're driving to visit those families -- consider how much less you lost in the last year than the world's 10 biggest losers.
According to the web site, The Business Sheet, those unfortunate people suffered a mind-boggling $176 billion in lost stock market value in the last 12 months. It turns out that 52% of the losses were suffered by three executives based in India. Here they are:
Anil Ambani - $32.5 billion. Ambani heads Reliance Communications that invested $500 million in Dreamworks earlier this year.
Lakshmi Mittal- $30.5 billion. Mittal heads ArcelorMittal which has suffered from a decline in the price of steel.
Mukesh Ambani -$28.2 billion is Anil's brother and controls Reliance Industries, a petrochemical manufacturer.
These are some other folks that make The Business Sheet's list:
Sheldon Adelson -$30 billion. I did consulting work for Adelson about 22 years ago and he is quite a character. His Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) casino is suffering from the economic slowdown and he's had some trouble with debt.
Warren Buffett -$13.6 billion. As I posted, Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) has had some problems this year.
This post is part of a feature on companies and products that our bloggers think are in need of a makeover.See all 26.
When Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) released its Windows Vista operating system product almost two years ago, the market was initially excited. That excitement turned to boring indifference as customers, both business and consumer, realized that this was just another update to Windows. Nothing revolutionary, or even evolutionary (in many minds). The problem was this: Windows Vista was a huge change under the hood, but where its users interact with it, it seems like a boring reinvention of an operating system from half a decade ago.
But Microsoft doesn't just make operating systems. It's into the office productivity business (Microsoft Office, anyone), it's big into the mobile business (Windows Mobile), and it's tried desperately to compete with Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) in the web search advertising business (which has largely failed). So, the company, which continues to make a ton of cash every quarter by selling Windows on all those global PCs that are sold, has no debt and a ton of cash under the mattress. It's still a boring company with a business model that's being made rapidly outdated by the internet and web-based competitors. Should it take its cash, return it to shareholders, and close up shop? Though this was suggested of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) some time back, that company roared back (maybe you've heard). Can Microsoft?
The Wall Street Journal must have better things to do with its time and all that expensive newsprint. The paper reports that CEOs of 175 large US companies have lost over $42 billion in net worth from the end of their most recent fiscal years though last week.
By this calculations, Warren Buffett is down $9.6 billion. Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) has seen his piece of the software company drop by almost $5 billion in value.
The reason that the data is foolish is that a loss is not really ever a loss unless and until the underlying securities are sold. People like Buffett and Ballmer don't need billions of dollars now, and they are still extraordinarily rich.They are unlikely sellers Two years from now, their net worth may be higher than they were in 2007. Who knows?
The calculation of wealth, made popular by the Forbes 400 is an exercise in futile math. What the rich are worth, especially if their money is in liquid securities is a snapshot in time, and one which can change hour-by-hour.
Why bother to eat of the time of good reporters?
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) will be reporting earnings for the third quarter on Tuesday, October 21. The internet portal hasn't had a great year so far. According to data at Earnings.com, the company hasn't seen too much in the way of bottom-line growth. And the stock is, as of this writing, at the low end of its 52-week range. Of course, just about all stocks are having a rough time this year. Then again, Yahoo! could have avoided all this misery and just allowed itself to become assimilated into the Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) culture. Poor CEO Jerry Yang. What was he thinking?
The call is for Yahoo! to post at least $0.09 per share for the bottom line. It would be nice if management could go beyond those expectations, since the company posted $0.11 per share in the year-ago period. Yahoo! really needs to show the market that it can stay relevant and keep up with the likes of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Time Warner's (NYSE: TWX) AOL. Google recently booked a quarter that went well beyond the thinking of analysts. Yahoo! has a relatively decent history of beating earnings expectations, but it did miss the call last quarter, according to AOL Finance. So there's going to be a lot of pressure on Yang to perform.
Of course, let's be honest. The earnings, in the big picture, don't really matter. Yahoo! is essentially, in the minds of many, still an arbitrage play. In fact, Tobias Buckell recently commented on this subject. There are a lot of investors out there who would like to see Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer come back to the table to begin a new round of negotiations for a takeover of the portal. I, for one, wouldn't want to see that. Does Microsoft really need the headache of integrating the web company's brand assets with its own? No. However, looking at it from the perspective of a Yahoo! shareholder, I obviously see why a buyout would be attractive. That might be the only way for the stock to command any premium these days.
It wasn't all that long ago that Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) eyed Yahoo, Inc. (NYSE: YHOO) with an eye towards acquisition. Yahoo fought it off, spending a great deal of money and lawyer's time, and filling any tech-oriented new outlets with headlines for quite a while.
Now the smell of acquisition is once more in the air thanks to Microsoft honcho Steve Ballmer saying a deal would "make sense." Yahoo is even cheaper than the $19/share level that first got Microsoft interested. In a shaky economy, giants like Microsoft can afford to go hunting for small companies to snap up.
Now this is so far just an off-hand statement (in appearance). Ballmer could just be testing the waters to see how Yahoo! and its shareholders react. So far today, the market reacted by bidding the share price of Yahoo up.
Yang busted some moves recently dancing with the star of Where the Hell is Matt?, the outstanding internet feature following adventurer and dancer (I use the term loosely) Matt Harding. Don't miss the video at the end of this post, if you're not familiar with Matt. - it's perhaps the most charming, uplifting video I've seen in years.
Of course, who can forget Steve Ballmer's dance at the podium during a Microsoft presentation? And, of course, Mark, 'Gimme the Cubs" Cuban performing on Dancing with the Stars?
Come to think of it, many CEOs are already quite accomplished at performing the fan dance with their balance sheets. Ex-Gov. Spitzer has shown his fondness for the hustle and the shag, while Donald Rumsfeld is still waiting for the cakewalk to begin. Senator Craig seems to favor the swing, while President Bush appears dead-set on taking on the Persian Dance before he waltzes out of the White House.
And me? Having lived through the Vietnam Era, I'm doing the Time Warp again.
Carl Icahn just got more bad news. His bid for Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) seems to be losing it momentum, and it should. Legg Mason, which owns 4.4% of the portal company, will support the current board.
According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), "We believe the current board acted with care and diligence when evaluating Microsoft's offers," Legg Mason Chairman Bill Miller said.
Other large investors may decide to back the status quo ahead of the Yahoo! Annual Meeting on August 1.
Icahn has made two significant mistakes. The first is that he overplayed his hand with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) by saying that he had more support from Steve Ballmer for a deal to takeover Yahoo!'s search business than he actually had.
The more profound problem is the Icahn has not taken the time or the effort to show Yahoo! shareholders how he would operate the company if he cannot strike a deal with Redmond. In essence, he has not made it clear how he can make Yahoo!'s shares rise from their current level if the company has to be run as a standalone business.
Icahn will lose his proxy fight for Yahoo!. He has not offered anything beyond a break-up or M&A event. Why would anyone support something so thin?
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
If we told you that a $3.00-plus drop in the price of oil wouldn't cause a major stock rally, it might only not be a surprise the bears who believe we are headed lower no matter what. Today was one where the markets spent much time in negative territory and then recovering towards the end of the day before making one last dive. If you think it was a quiet day, we had nearly a 300-point difference between today's high in the morning and the lows before today's recovery. These are today's unofficial closing levels:
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) saw a severe downgrade after Lehman cut it to Underweight on its premium to peers and weakness tied to Theme Park exposure. Shares were down over 2% at $30.22 in today's final minutes.
Many Wall Street analysts thought that when Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) lost its bid for Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) that it would take the $45 billion it was going to spend and buy other online companies.
Think again. Microsoft's management says it is not so. According to the FT, "Steve Ballmer, chief executive, scotched talk that Microsoft would turn to a `plan B' of other acquisitions to boost its online presence." Ballmer feels that buying more internet companies will not improve its share of the search market. He is not simply after more pageviews.
The news is probably disappointing to several large online companies. AOL, Facebook, Monster (NASDAQ: MNST), and Digg might all have been part of a Microsoft plan to improve the size of its presence on the web.
The Microsoft comments send another message. Search is important. Display advertising is not. Search is an efficient way to make money. Display advertising's best growth years are behind it.
If Ballmer is right, the online world is about to go through a major upheaval.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
In a bit of investigative reporting that no one will care about, The Wall Street Journal has discovered that a series of disputes between Steve Ballmer and Bill Gates eight years ago caused a changing of the guard at the company. The paper writes that "The conflict between the two men paralyzed business-strategy decisions that the company still wrestles with today. Board members stepped in to try to mediate a truce."
The piece in the Journal is a nice human interest story, but that it would be the top story at the paper is a bit odd. That is until the reader considers that the cult of personality is still alive and well in American business. Chiefs like Lee Iaccoca and Jack Welch have written best-selling books. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) customers and shareholders worship Steve Jobs.
All of that, to a large extent, takes the eye off of the ball. The people who run large companies, even those that are fabulously successful, are only doing the jobs that the investing public expects of them. Even if they are founders. Gates and Jobs decided to take their companies public. After that, the only reasonable question is whether they made shareholders money.
In many ways, the transition from Gates to Ballmer has been a failure. Eight years ago, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) traded at $53. Now its stands at under $28. Gates may have turned the CEO job over to Ballmer, but neither has done the stockholders any favors.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Recently I posted a Serious Money metrics story that included Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) comparisons along with six other stocks. Until now I have not felt very strongly about the merits of Microsoft's offer to acquire Yahoo! and merge assets and features.
I was leaning toward the price is too high camp, but now, after Microsoft has withdrawn the offer and I have looked at the current state of affairs of both companies, I think it did the right thing and may have avoided a nightmare.
To bring Yahoo! into the fold, Microsoft would have had to find enough cost savings by eliminating overlapping departments or it would have had to hope it could double Yahoo's earnings. If not, the acquisition would unduly weigh down the mother ship, because Microsoft's P/E Ratio of 17.08 is half that of Yahoo!'s 34.25.
When you look at the ROE,Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) -- with its 45.28% -- has a four times greater return than that of Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO)'s 10.96%. Yahoo looks like another drag.
According to people familiar with the matter, Robert Verrone, one of the most zealous commercial real-estate lenders during the industry's boom, will leave Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) within the next week, the Wall Street Journal reported.
WEB SITES:
Bloomberg reported that the Department of Justice is probing whether UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) helped clients evade American taxes. In an e-mailed statement, the firm said one senior bank employee was "briefly detained" by authorities.
Bloomberg also reported that Vallejo, California's city council voted to go into bankruptcy. Officials said that after talks with labor unions failed to win salary concessions from police and fire fighters, the city does not have enough money to pay its bills.
According to a rumor, TechCrunch reported that the Yahoo Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) board of directors yesterday authorized Yahoo chairman Roy Bostock, rather than CEO Jerry Yang, to call Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) CEO Steve Ballmer about re-starting negotiations.
The dust is settling after the withdrawn purchase offer of Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) by Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT). During that fascinating process, speculation ran high as to why Steve Ballmer chose the strategy that he did. People were asking what the probable outcomes could be and what would possibly be created by the acquisition. What I have found to be lacking in the realm of the public keyboard is a synopsis of what exactly Steve Ballmer has accomplished through this seemingly fruitless process.
I was convinced that Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) would go hostile on Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO). Microsoft is known as a tough player, right? And Yahoo seems to be a good strategic fit.
But of course, Microsoft's CEO, Steve Ballmer, has thrown in the towel on the $31 buyout offer. Apparently, he lobbed $33 per share – but the folks at Yahoo wanted $4 extra.
I can certainly understand why Ballmer doesn't want to overpay. After all, many M&A studies show that this is often deadly for dealmaking.
At the same time, Microsoft had the option of a proxy fight and a direct offer to Yahoo shareholders. However, Ballmer thought such things would be too distracting. But doesn't Microsoft have legions of attorneys and investment bankers?
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) shareholders should breathe a sigh of relief for not overpaying for an internet search company, Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) where CEO Jerry Yang let his ego get in the way of handsome profits. Yang rejected the $47.5 billion offer that Microsoft put on the table. Why? Because he thought the company is worth more than $50 billion. As reported by the AP: "Clearly there's frustration," said Darren Chervitz, co-manager of the Jacob Internet Fund, which owns Yahoo stock. "I am not even sure if Yahoo cares about its shareholders because they didn't show much regard for shareholders' best interests in this process."
Yang actually thinks that a more sophisticated advertising platform is the secret sauce needed to produce a spike in revenue growth. Keep in mind that revenue grew by only 12% last year, and there is no indication that that number is going to be much higher in '08. Yang thinks that he will be able to grow revenue's by 25 percent in 2009 and 2010. Uh Huh!
I think that today's selloff in Yahoo stock will be an indication of what the public thinks of Yang's plan.
Could it be that in the long run he will be proved correct? I doubt it but only time will tell.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 5/5/08.
This post is part of a feature on companies and products that our bloggers think are in need of a makeover. 
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